Rapid Fire June 26, 2013: Global Defense Spending to Face Tectonic Shifts?
Forecast Me Not
- IHS Jane’s is making the bold prediction that aggregated Asian defense budgets will supersede North America’s by 2021. Maybe. They don’t share their methodology but from their release it appears that by “forecast” they mean “project recent past trends for straight 8 years regardless of likely disruptions.” Whether China, India or Russia will really be able to grow as much as Jane’s analysts expect is subject to financial constraints and social difficulties of a different nature, but probably as strong as in the West. The IISS came up with an even bolder scenario a few months ago, but defense budget forecasts 10 years out have a tendency to end up widely off the mark.
Back to Ground Level
- India sent tenders to local-foreign teams for $300M+ in surface surveillance radars.
- France is likely to modernize its Mirage multirole jets and keep them longer than expected: Senate hearing | Zone Militaire [both in French].
- The cost of France’s Operation Serval in Mali will likely exceed 400 million euros ($520+M) by the end of 2013 according to a recent parliamentary report [PDF, in French].
- The US Army is surveying industry capabilities to provide devices that allow the collection of biometric information at a tactical level.
- The London-based International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation, in cooperation with the US-based New America Foundation, inject a dose of reality [PDF] into the prospect of succeeding at “talking with the Taliban.”