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F-15SG, armed
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The rest of the story: rollout, and deployment. (April 5/10)

At the dawn of the 21st Century, Singapore decided that it needed a new aircraft to replace its often-upgraded A-4SU Super Skyhawks. This was hardly surprising; John McCain had been flying an older model A-4 Skyhawk when he was shot down during the Vietnam War. The decision to require a twin-engine aircraft eliminated the JAS-39 Gripen and F-16 E/F Block 60 from the competition, and the F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet and Sukhoi Su-30 family were also scratched. That left just 3 finalists: Boeing’s F-15 Strike Eagle, France’s Rafale, and the Eurofighter Typhoon. Limited air-ground capabilities and a slow upgrade schedule splashed the Eurofighter, leaving just 2 contenders still flying.

September 2005 releases tapped Boeing as the winner, and the deal was done in December 2005. The 12-plane, $1+ billion order (est. $1.4-1.8 billion) was good news for Boeing: Singapore’s F-15SGs, and South Korea’s 40-60 plane F-15K order, kept the assembly line open for this 2-seat, multi-role fighter. With all of these features built into its F-15SG variant, Singapore has legitimate grounds to argue that it will be flying the world’s most advanced version of the F-15 Strike Eagle…

• Contracts and Key Events
• Appendix A: The F-15SG and the Global Fighter Market
• Appendix B: Additional Readings & Sources – Equipment
• Appendix C: Additional Readings & Sources – Other News & Developments
• Appendix D: Additional Readings & Sources – Market Analysis and Background

Contracts and Key Events

F-15SG arrives
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The F-15SG will be an advanced version of the U.S. Air Force’s F-15E Strike Eagle, with minor customization to Singapore’s specifications and the most up-to-date avionics available. The higher-thrust GE F110 engine will be used in place of the Pratt & Whitney F100 engines that power some F-16s and most F-15s. AN/APG-63v3 AESA radars will be included, and there are rumors that a number of Israeli electronics and self-defense systems will be part of the F-15SG as well. Sniper XR surveillance & ground targeting pods, and IRST systems built in for air-air engagements, will also be added to Singapore’s standard equipment list.

April 5/10: Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Teo Chee Hean officiates at the inauguration ceremony of the RSAF’s first local F-15SG Squadron: 149 Squadron, based at Paya Lebar Air Base. Singapore MINDEF | Singapore MINDEF Cyberpioneer | MINDEF Video | Boeing release.

March 25/10: Data Link Solutions, LLC in Cedar Rapids, IA received a maximum $5.7 million firm-fixed-price, sole-source contract for F-15 aircraft fighter data link system spare parts and installs, on behalf of Foreign Military Sales for Singapore (F-15SG), Japan (F-15J), and Saudi Arabia (F-15 C/D/S). There was originally one proposal solicited with one response, and the contract will run until June 30/11. The Defense Logistics Agency at Warner Robins Air Force Base, GA manages the contract (SPRWA1-10-C-0010).

Nov 20/09: The Republic of Singapore Air Force’s (RSAF) F-15SG detachment is inaugurated at the Mountain Home Air Force Base, Idaho, USA. The detachment was formally established in October 2008 as part of the US Air Force’s (USAF’s) 428th Fighter Squadron, and will operate up to 12 F-15SG fighter aircraft at MHAFB for the next 25 years. The detachment of about 250 RSAF personnel comprises pilots, Weapons System Officers (Fighter) and ground crew. They will undergo air-to-air and air-to-ground training and development programs, and set up a core group of fully qualified F-15SG air and ground crew. They will also participate in USAF exercises to hone their professional skills and enhance their combat readiness.

The RSAF has a number of American locations, including its F-16C/D fighter detachment (PC II) at the Luke Air Force Base, AZ; its CH-47 Chinook helicopter detachment in Grand Prairie, TX; and an AH-64D Apache helicopter detachment in Marana, AZ. Singapore MINDEF | Singapore MINDEF cyberpioneer | Video [Windows Media] | USAF.

May 4/09: The RSAF receives its first batch of 4 F-15SGs. The aircraft were delivered to the RSAF detachment at Mountain Home Air Force Base in Idaho, USA. Because of Singapore’s size, significant components of its Air Force are based abroad, with the proviso that their hosts will provide the refueling and other support required to return them to Singapore if requested.

RSAF pilots have been undergoing general F-15 training with their USAF counterparts in Seymour Johnson AFB in North Carolina. The new aircraft will allow RSAF pilots to begin F-15SG training, including all of the new systems. Singapore MINDEF.

F-15SG rollout
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Nov 3/08: Boeing rolls out the first F-15SG jet fighter. The aircraft now will undergo a one-year flight test program at Boeing facilities in St. Louis, MO and in Palmdale, CA, in order to confirm aircraft performance.

Production deliveries to to the Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) will begin in the second quarter of 2009. The final aircraft in this order will be delivered to the RSAF in 2012. MINDEF release | MINDEF cyberpioneer article | Boeing release.

F-15 Strike Eagle
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Oct 25/07: GE Aircraft Engines announces that Singapore has selected its F110-GE-129C fighter engine to power the 12 plane follow-on order, as well as the original order. Engine deliveries for the additional aircraft will also begin in 2009.

A switch would have been very unusual, but it’s a press release opportunity to tout the engine as an option for F-15s, while existing global fleets are pondering refurbishment and/or upgrade programs.

Oct 22/07: Singapore orders another 12 F-15SGs, bringing its total to 24. Contract terms were not disclosed, but options generally allow the option holder to buy the new weapons at the same price as the original set. That would raise the overall order to about $3 billion by some estimates, though firm costs for the aircraft have not been releasaed. Boeing | Singapore MINDEF:

“The Ministry of Defence has, on 22nd October 2007, exercised the option to purchase eight more F-15SG fighters which was part of the original contract signed in December 2005. Along with this buy, an additional order for four F-15SGs was made…. The additional F-15SGs, which will be equipped with sophisticated avionics and weapon systems, will be delivered from 2010.”

Aug 24/07: The DSCA reports that Singapore has submitted a request for another handful of precision strike weapons, a pilot training program in the continental US, and maintenance support and training “to support its F-15 aircraft”. The proposed sale involves Paveway II precision bombs and other weapons, and is worth up to $200 million. The principal contractors will be F-15 primes Boeing Integrated Defense Solutions of St. Louis, MO and General Electric Aircraft Engines Division of Cincinnati, OH. See: “Singapore Seeks Weapons, Training for New F-15s.”

Power.
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April 20/06: Lockheed Martin announces a key ancillary contract that will make a big difference to the F-15SG’s strike capabilities. The 5-year, fixed-price (undisclosed) contract will add advanced electro-optical sensor suites to Singapore’s F-15SGs, and include the sensor suites, spares, training, technical publications and complete logistics support. Deliveries will begin the second quarter of 2007.

The advanced electro-optical sensor suite features a high-resolution, mid-wave, 3rd-generation FLIR; a dual-mode laser; a charge-coupled device television; a laser spot tracker; a laser marker; a terrain following radar; and an IRST system. In more specific terms, the sensor suite includes Sniper/Pantera Advanced Targeting Pods, Tiger Eyes forward-looking infrared systems for targeting and navigation, and an Infrared Search and Track (IRST) system for passive air-to-air detection. See DID coverage.

Feb 23/06: According to Jane’s Defense Weekly on , the AN/APG-63v3 AESA radar will also be included in Singapore’s F-15SGs. There are rumors that a number of Israeli electronics and self-defense systems, which Singapore uses in other fleet aircraft, will also be part of the F-15SGs.

Singapore will have a more advanced aircraft than South Korea, who did not request AESA capability for their F-15K.

Jan 24/06: GE announces Singapore selection of their F110-GE-129 engines, rated at 29,000 pounds thrust. The GE F110 was developed as an engine alternative to Pratt & Whitney’s original F100, and has since become very popular in F-16s due to its higher thrust. Most of the USAF current F-16 fleet currently flies with GE F110 engines, for instance. Despite extensive US F-15E trials in 1999, however, almost all F-15s worldwide use the P&W F100 engine.

Singapore’s F-15SGs will be the second F-15 aircraft using the F110; the Republic of Korea (ROKAF) selected the engine to power its F-15K Slam Eagle aircraft, and began taking deliveries in October 2005. Al DiLibero, vice president of the F110 program at GE, sees these two recent wins as big plusses. Engines, like airframes, have service lives, and replacement or upgrade programs could well lead to growth possibilities re-engining mature F-15 aircraft already in service with other countries. DID coverage.

F-15E firing flares:
“Splash Two in Singapore!”
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Dec 12/05: Terms are agreed; a contract is formally signed to produce 12 F-15SG aircraft. All 12 aircraft will be delivered in 2008-2009, and Singapore has an option for 8 more planes. Amounts were not disclosed, but previous reports have placed the contract value at around $1 billion exclusive of options.

Boeing has produced more than 1,500 F-15s during the past three decades. In addition to the USA, Israel, Korea, Japan, and Saudi Arabia operate F-15 fleets. The 2-seat Strike Eagle variants, which add significant capabilities in the ground attack and precision strike role, are in use in the USA (F-15E), Israel (F-15I), Korea (F-15K), Saudi Arabia (F-15S) and now Singapore. See “Singapore Announces F-15SG Contract.

Sept 6/05: Singapore’s MINDEF announces that the F-15SG Strike Eagle has been selected to replace its A-4SU Super Skyhawks, providing air superiority and medium-range strike capabilities. The MINDEF’s release is very brief, but Dassault Aviation’s is more explicit.

Aug 22/05: The US DSCA announces [PDF] Singapore’s formal request for up to $741 million weapons and F-15 related training. Weapons requested include AIM-9X Sidewinder and AIM-120C AMRAAM air-air missiles, AGM-154 JSOW precision glide bombs, JDAM GPS-guided bombs, 20mm ammunition, and more.

The timing of the request and mention of F-15s even before an official decision is made makes observers wonder if Singapore has made its decision already. A subsequent clarifying release from Singapore’s MINDEF says that it hasn’t, and that similar activities are underway to get export clearance for required weapons from France. See “F-15E Strike Eagle Taking Off With Singapore Contract?” for details.

Appendix A: The Rafale, the F-15SG and the Global Fighter Market

Rafale: mayday call?

The Singapore order is a significant boost for the F-15, keeping the production lines open, and allowing follow-on development of an F-15SE variant with upgraded stealth, tweaked aerodynamics, and the option of internal weapon carriage. The news was less good for France’s Rafale, however, in ways that went beyond this competition alone – and speak to the state and segmentation of the global fighter market.

Dassault’s Rafale had no export orders when Singapore made its choice in December 2005. It remains without a single export order as of March 2010, having lost out in Libya (SU-30), Morocco (F-16C/D), the Netherlands (likely F-35, JAS-39NG Gripen a long shot), Norway (F-35A), Oman (Eurofighter), Saudi Arabia (Eurofghter), Singapore (F-15SG), and South Korea (F-15K Strike Eagle). Discussions are ongoing with the UAE and Kuwait, and the aircraft remains a contender for Brazil’s F-X2 competition and Switzerland’s F-5 replacement program. As of March 2010, only Kuwait can be described as a high probability future sale.

With respect to Singapore’s 2005 decision, a Dassault news release noted that their hopes:

”...failed to materialize. There seem to be two main reasons for this decision:

• America’s power might [sic] once again bore out the old Chinese proverb: Bamboo always leans the way it’s pushed the hardest”

Actually, if this contract bears out a proverb, it’s more likely to be Charlie Brown’s old adage that “winning isn’t everything, but losing isn’t anything.” In ways that will affect the plane’s future.

A-4SU: Thanks for
the memories…

Singapore’s relationship with the USA was certainly a strength. It includes complementary weapons and equipment for the F-15s already in stock, joint operations and strategic concerns, and even Singaporean Ch-47 Chinook helicopters and pilots currently flying hurricane relief missions inside the USA. This deepening relationship has been consistently noted by DID as a source of advantage for Boeing. Nevertheless, Singapore has bought major defense platforms from France before, and continues to so.

The Rafale offers superior aerodynamic performance in exchange for shorter range, a less capable radar, precision targeting not yet integrated into the platform, and more weapons integration work. Singapore decided that it didn’t like those trade-offs.

Dassault’s problems run deeper than Singapore, however. The problem is positioning. The Rafale is finding itself squeezed on 3 fronts.

The problem, in one
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[1] Many nations do not have the funding or the need for an “omni-role fighter” aircraft in the $80+ million range, and are explicitly purchasing light fighters like Lockheed’s F-16 (Poland, Greece, also Turkey, many others); Saab/BAE’s JAS-39 Gripen (Sweden, Czech Republic, Hungary, South Africa); and Dassault’s own Mirage 2000 instead (Taiwan, UAE) in the $30-40 million range – or buying used. For instance, Thailand got Singapore’s older F-16A aircraft when Singapore upgraded to a newer model of F-16. Richard Aboulafia, of the Teal Group, has some harder statistics covering this long-standing global trend.

Singapore, with its long sea lanes and wide potential area of operation, had an immediate need to replace their ancient A-4SU Skyhawks, and a different set of requirements that gave the Rafale an opportunity. To put that need in perspective, Sen. John McCain was flying an A-4 Skyhawk when he was shot down over North Vietnam. It is likely that outside key markets like the Arabian Gulf states, Dassault will find tougher sledding with the Rafale than it did with the lower-budget Mirage 2000.

F-35A JSF

[2] Among advanced militaries, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter appears poised to become the next F-16. Decisions like MBDA’s announcement that they would adapt their Meteor long-range air-air missile for the F-35 reflect a growing acknowledgment of that reality.

The Joint Strike Fighter will cost about the same or slightly more than the Rafale, but it’s a 5th Generation aircraft, with good stealth designed in, a wide base of international participants (USA, Australia, Britain, Canada, Denmark, Israel, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore, Turkey) and improved capabilities. As the program moves closer to completion, analysts expect that its influence on global procurement decisions will grow stronger and induce many countries to wait instead. The F-35 program’s own delays will create a window, but that window is closing fast, and the F-35B’s status as the sole fighter option for LHD-type amphibious assault ships and small aircraft carriers will give the platform an incontestable entree.

Sukhoi SU-37

[3] Meanwhile, both the Russian SU-27/30 family (Russia, China, India, Malaysia, Vietnam, several others), and the EADS Eurofighter (Austria, Britain, Italy, Germany, Saudi Arabia, Spain) offer stiff competition and loyal customer bases in the realm of 4+ generation aircraft. The F-15 Strike Eagle is also emerging as a strong modern export competitor in this realm (USA, Israel, Korea, Singapore). Boeing’s decision to finance a stealthier F-15SE design is particularly bad news for Dassault, given the F-15’s compatibility with widely-used American munitions, targeting pods, communications systems, etc.

Singapore’s quality military, leading-edge doctrine, and smart procurement decisions have made them an influential bellwether customer, whose military decisions are seen as a meaningful endorsement in Asia and beyond. Had they selected Dassault’s Rafale over Boeing, it could well have opened doors for that aircraft elsewhere. Instead, the Rafale’s export mission became tougher. Dassault’s bravado concerning global fighter trends and opportunities notwithstanding.

Indeed, continued failure to secure export orders could have real blowback effects into the Rafale program for France.

The Rafale program was always dependent on some level of foreign orders to help finance its ongoing modernization and upgrade plans. If that option continues to fail, France’s budget constraints could leave the Rafale falling steadily behind even its 4+ Generation peers, in a vicious spiral that further crimps export opportunities. In February 2006, eDefense had this bad news for the platform following its Singapore loss:

“With a grand total of 294 aircraft (234 for the French Air Force and 60 for the French Navy) needed to meet current French requirements for the Rafale, and with no export hopes in view, orders for this potent multirole fighter-bomber will have to rely essentially on governmental support at a time when France’s finances are burdened by a rising national debt, according to the French Ministry of Defense (MoD).”

Back when France was still part of the Eurofighter consortium, their rigid insistence on their own specifications and on deciding all work-sharing unilaterally, forced a parting of the ways. While French military needs really were quite specific, the decision has thus far proven to be a very expensive one.

Appendix B: Additional Readings & Sources – Equipment

• Singapore MINDEF (February 2006) – Battle-proven bird of prey – the F-15 Eagle. Covers the RSAF’s newest fighter and its equipment.

• GlobalSecurity.org – F-15 Eagle. Includes sub-pages for the F-15’s variants. Covers program history, specifications, and more.

• USAF Fact Sheets – F-15 Eagle

• Boeing F-15E Strike Eagle Official Site

• DID – F-15s Looking for the AESA Edge. Describes the F-15’s various radars, including the AESA options and what makes them so powerful.

• AerospaceWeb.org Aircraft Museum: A-4 Skyhawk

• Air Force Technology – Rafale Multi-Role Combat Fighter, France

• Carlo Kopp, Air Power Australia (August 2000) – Eurofighter Typhoon – Demon or Lemon? His analysis and conclusions explain a great deal re: Singapore’s decision, actually. An extremely informative, thorough analysis that directly compares the Eurofighter with the F-22, F-15, F/A-18, and Su-30 family in many dimensions. Avoids both unwarranted hype and excessive negativity; very fair, fact-based and excellent.

• Airforce-Technology.com – Sukhoi SU-27/30 Family

• F-35 Joint Strike Fighter consortium, Official Site. Singapore is a Security Co-operation Participant in the program, but delivery won’t take place before 2015 and a Skyhawk replacement was needed sooner.

Appendix C: Additional Readings & Sources – Other News & Developments

• Aviation International News (February 2006) – RSAF’s F-15s shop far and wide for warfighter excellence. Includes some interesting political background, notes the possibility of Israeli equipment, and adds that the F-15SG will use Lockheed’s Sniper XR as its targeting pod.

• Japan Today (Aug 25/05) – Singapore says it is still evaluating U.S., French fighter jets

• DID (Aug 25/05) – F-15E Strike Eagle Taking Off With Singapore Contract? A large US weapons order raises questions.

• Singapore Ministry of Defence (Aug 24/05) – Former Commander of United States Pacific Command Receives Prestigious Military Award. “The Meritorious Service Medal (Military) was awarded to Admiral (Retd) Fargo, who was Commander of the United States Pacific Command from May 2002 to February 2005, in recognition of his outstanding role in fostering closer ties between the United States Pacific Command and the Singapore Armed Forces…”

• St Louis Post Dispatch (July 31/05) – Boeing’s F-15 Tries to Stay Aloft (see also here). Good look at economic impacts, plus likely prospects for the F-15 and F-16 aircraft over the next decade.

• DID (July 20/05) – F-16 Shoots Down Greece’s $6B Eurofighter Order. Light fighter option beats out multi-role aircraft, on a contract once considered near-certain for the Eurofighter. The door is still open in 2009, however…. unless Greece decides to match its rival Turkey and go with F-35s as its future.

• DID (June 13/05) – Gripen Offsets Set – But Drooping Sales Leave Workers Gripin’. Layoffs at Saab due to slow sales of the JAS-39 4th generation lightweight fighter.

• DID (May 27/05) – Meteor Missile Will Make Changes to Accommodate F-35

• DID (May 6/05) – $1.1B to Upgrade Turkish F-16 Fleet. Eurofighter option dead, as Turkey is an F-35 program participant. Light fighter option beats out multi-role aircraft now, while 5th generation replacement kills future prospects.

• DID (April 22/05) – Singapore Drops Eurofighter from Critical Contract

• Jane’s Defense Weekly Report (April 21/05) – Eurofighter Typhoon takes a nosedive in Singapore

• Reuters News Report (April 21/05) – Singapore drops Eurofighter from jet bid

• DID (March 23/05) – Turkey considering Eurofighters

• DID (March 7/05) – F-15K’s First Flight Successful

• F-16.NET (Dec. 13/04) – Thailand to Receive Singapore F-16A/Bs. See also this article on the Royal Thai Air Force, whose next major fighter purchase is likely to be… F-16s.

Appendix D: Additional Readings & Sources – Market Analysis and Background

• Aviation Week & Space Technology (March 1/04) – Fighter Makers Reassess Options. Discusses Singapore’s initial shortlist, adds predictions re: the world fighter market, and notes that Singapore represents the last chance for the two European aircraft to prove themselves through victory in an influential export market before the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter influences buyers (some good comments on the F-35 program, too). Analysis by the Teal Group.

• DID (June 16/05) – Dassault Discusses Global Fighter Market to 2015

• RichardAboulafia.com – December 2001 Newsletter. Good, evidence-backed commentary re: fighter prices and exports.

• Scramble – Republic of Singapore Air Force

• DID (Aug 25/05) – Singapore Brig. Gen. Jimmy Khoo: 8 Reasons Why Network Centric Warfare is Irrelevant. It’s tongue-in-cheek, and smart. Brig. Gen. Khoo is a popular speaker at conferences related to military transformation. See why.

• The Fourth Rail (April 27/05) – Of Pirates and Terrorists. A growing concern around the Straits of Malacca, near Singapore.

• The Joint Center for International and Security Studies (Oct. 2002) – The Information Revolution in Military Affairs: Prospects for Asia: Singapore and the Revolution in Military Affairs [PDF document]

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