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US Will Sell Global Hawks - Will South Korea Buy?

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RQ-4 cutaway
Global Hawk Cutaway
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The RQ-4 Global Hawks isn’t a full successor to the famous U-2 spy plane just yet, which is why the USA is keeping its U-2s for now. It’s close, however, and some people have described the HALE UAV as the equivalent of having a photo satellite on station. Flying at 60,000 feet for 30-40+ hours at a time, the jet-powered UAV uses sophisticated radars and other sensors to monitor developments on land, sea, and air over an area of about 40,000 square miles/ 100,000 square km. Reported image resolution has been described as 1 foot or less.

The USA has made effective use of Global Hawks since its formal unveiling in 1997, which has prompted interest from other countries. Germany will develop and induct its EuroHawk version under a EUR 430 million program, and NATO’s AGS system will now deploy Global Hawk UAVs instead of a more effective combination of Global Hawks and modified Airbus A321 jets. Outside of NATO, however, sales have reportedly been trickier. Four issues have worked to hold up potential sales – 2 of which are acknowledged openly, and 2 of which tend to play out very much behind the scenes.

South Korea ran afoul of all 4 of those issues, when the USA rejected their application to buy 4 of the larger RQ-4B UAVs in 2006. Now, it seems, the tide has turned… but that may not matter, because South Korea appears to have changed its mind. A contract with KAI and a “foreign defense firm” looks set to produce a semi-indigenous HALE UAV instead; but the USA will be fielding Global Hawks on the peninsula, and is urging South Korea to buy some of its own…

  • Contracts and Key Events
  • Appendix A: Global Hawk Sales Challenges & South Korea
  • Additional Readings

Contracts and Key Events

Heron-TP ELINT
IAI Heron-TP
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June 5/09: In light of tensions of the Korean peninsula following North Korea’s 4kt nuclear fizzle test, missile tests, and renunciation of the 1953 ceasefire that ended the Korean War, the USA says it will be replacing its U-2s over Korea with Global Hawk UAVs – and urges South Korea to buy some. Agence France Presse:

“Lieutenant General Jeffrey Remington said the US Air Force in the South would retire decades-old U-2 spy planes and replace them with Global Hawk unmanned reconnaissance planes. Remington’s comments in an interview with Dong-A Ilbo newspaper were confirmed by his public affairs officer.

The general also said South Korea should buy the Global Hawks to improve the surveillance capability of the joint force.”

May 10/09: South Korea’s Defense Reform 2020 initiative is being adjusted to beef up the army, according to a plan that’s expected to be finalized in June. According to Yonhap, the high-altitude UAV’s introduction will be delayed from 2011 to 2015. A date that would still be in line with the original integration schedule.

It depends on what Yonhap’s sources mean by “introduction,” but 2011 was supposed to mark the end of initial R&D work. Korea Times.

Dec 7/08: Reports surface that the ROK’s Defense Acquisition Program Administration (DAPA) has selected Korean Air as the main developer of an indigenous medium-altitude unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to start missions after 2016. The proposed UAV will be designed to perform missions as high as 50,000 feet / 15 km for more than 24 hours.

Korean Air, the country’s largest airline, reportedly won the WON 450 billion (currently $305.9 million) bid, beating Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI). The firm has assembled UH-60 Black Hawk helicopters, runs maintenance services for both civilian and military customers, and developed and tested its own small UAV in 2007. Even so, the cited source adds that Korean Air will have “the technological help of a foreign defense firm” as they develop and integrate the spy plane’s fuselage and other related systems, including a ground-control station and a mission equipment package (MEP). Preliminary R&D will take place from 2009 – 2011, and system development and integration is scheduled to run from 2012 – 2016.

This decision does not preclude the purchase or lease of Global Hawk UAVs as a bridge buy or supplement to South Korea’s own UAV project. Nevertheless, The Korea Times writes that:

“Earlier this year, the Ministry of National Defense hinted that it would push harder for developing an indigenous UAV rather than purchasing the Global Hawk high-flying UAV from the United States.”

That foreign partner was not named, but the possible field is limited if one restricts it to manufacturers with systems that already meet the ROK’s criteria. Korea currently fields both Israel Aerospace Industries Searcher UAVs and Elbit Systems’ Skylark II for tactical reconnaissance, and has industrial relationships with those firms. Either IAI’s Heron 2/TP or Elbit’s Hermes 1500 would qualify under the ROK’s criteria, and the Heron-TP is also the basis of France’s forthcoming EAGLE UAV. The other possibility is General Atomics, who has a number of UAV variants in the MQ-9 family (Reaper, Altair, Mariner).

As an interesting postscript, Korean Air’s win may trace to a 2006 revision of the law governing the designation of defense manufacturers, which removed preferential treatment for those firms designated as defense manufacturers. The new law allows any companies or partnerships to compete, as long as they can demonstrate adequate production capacity and low-risk status. The revised law is to be put into effect at the beginning of 2009, after a 2-year grace period. Korea Times.

Appendix A: Global Hawk Sales Challenges & South Korea

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RQ-4 Global Hawk
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International sales of Global Hawk UAVs typically run into 4 main issues.

One is sticker shock. The basic Global Hawk aircraft itself has a price that approximates a similar-sized high-end business or regional jet, around $35-45 million. By the time its ultra-sophisticated sensors have been added, ground infrastructure put in place, and induction costs for a new platform are factored in, a small fleet of 5 or fewer UAVs can easily fetch a price tag of $100+ million per vehicle.

Another acknowledged issue is the MTCR (Missile Technology Control Regime) treaty of 1987, which was amended in 1992 to include unmanned systems capable of delivering nuclear, chemical and biological weapons. This is somewhat ridiculous given the Global Hawks status as a pure reconnaissance platform. On the other hand, one might ask when that has ever stopped a lawyer. In response, the USA has put forward several solutions, including a multinational “Pacific Pool” run with US participation in a manner similar to NATO’s E-3 AWACS program.

The Global Hawk is currently a uniquely capable UAV, however, with no real competitors. This has added some export issues that are not discussed as openly.

Secrets are one issue that is not discussed openly, because of the sensitivities around telling a country that it cannot be trusted – even when that belief is well founded. Technology transfer is one aspect of this issue, given the sophistication of the UAV, its payloads, and its control systems. A more important sub-issue is discussed even less: the level of trust in the purchaser’s treatment of the kind of intelligence data a Global Hawk UAV can gather.

A linked issue that is not discussed openly involves the relationship between the USA and the purchasing country, along with evaluations of that ally’s future stability. Issues in these areas are not typically the sort of thing one airs in public, but any sale of very high-end military equipment must take those considerations into account.

South Korea had requested Global Hawks in 2005, and again in 2006, after its efforts to field a national ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance) capability over North Korea via projects like its modified Hawker Beechcraft 800XR business jets fell short in a key areas. The USA responded in 2006, and said no.

The MTCR treaty was cited as the grounds, but this was not the entire truth. South Korea also experienced some sticker shock over the price tag, but the main issue was the deterioration in Korean-American relations.

The Roh Moo-hyun administration had antagonized the USA over a number of issues, not least of which was a “sunshine policy” toward the North that often seemed to cross a line into state-supported anti-Americanism. A recent incident in which more ROK army cadets identified the USA as the prime threat to their country than North Korea speaks to that dynamic. When combined with evidence of business ties at senior levels involving North Korea, there were open questions about both the security of any technology transfers, and the security of any information South Korean RQ-4s might gather about the North.

The new Lee Myung-bak administration has significantly better relations with the USA. Suddenly, the USA believes it has found the required legal formula to sell Global Hawk UAVs despite the MTCR treaty. The decision was reportedly communicated during a July 23/08 meeting of the bilateral Security Policy Initiative. Chosun Ibo adds that:

”...already in April, after the Lee Myung-bak administration was inaugurated, the U.S. informally notified Seoul there was a possibility it might sell the aircraft to Korea.”

The Korean border, and North Korea itself, are not large. Reports indicate that South Korea may only be interested in 2-4 Global Hawk systems, but that could be enough to offer continuous coverage.

Additional Readings

  • Elbit Systems – Hermes 1500. The Hermes 900 might qualify as well.
  • Seoul Station. R.J. Koehler offers a consistent window into Korean politics, culture, and related international affairs, via links and excerpts from Korean news.

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